Developments in the steel market
Outlook steel market
The Global Economy is expected to remain stable. World GDP will grow by +3.2%* in 2025. The outlook continues to differ across countries, with weaker outcomes in advanced economies, especially in Europe, and growth in the US and emerging economies. Therefore, global steel demand will fall in 2024 and increase slightly in 2025.

In Europe, the market situation is still challenging with further demand decline in the second half year 2024. Several companies went for extended summer closure to adjusted capacities. The manufacturing industry is influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and declining household purchasing power. Construction industry was influenced by monetary activities to control the inflation rate. In addition, destocking has continued at high level, reflecting poor steel demand. The biggest European economy Germany is struggling to pull the economy out of recession. The automotive market has decreased, Volkswagen and further automotive suppliers have announced restructuring measures.

In line with the market situation described above, it is not surprising that the price levels for pipes & tubes are hardly changing. Raw material prices remained almost stable. Scrap prices showed no significant changes. Price levels for European hot-rolled coils increased slightly. Import offers are not seen as interesting to EU users due to lead times, safeguard quota and potential anti-dumping risk. The delivery times for most product groups have not changed and are in line with the market.
*Source: International Monetary Fund from November 2024
Update anti-dumping investigation on imports of seamless pipes and tube

The European Commission has launched a new anti-dumping investigation* on imports of seamless pipes and tube from China. The investigation has been initiated following the complaint of the European Steel Tube Association (ESTA) on April 2nd, 2024. The complaint alleges that imports of certain seamless pipes & tubes are being dumped and thereby causing injury to the Union industry. The investigation period could take up to 14 months, with the possibility of provisional duties.

For seamless pipes & tubes, the price levels remain stable pending the completion of the investigation. Several mills have reduced production capacity or implemented shorter working hours in response to low demand.

**Source: Official Journal of the European Union C/2024/3225 from 17.5.2024
Update anti-dumping investigation on imports of seamless pipes and tube

The European Commission has launched a new anti-dumping investigation* on imports of seamless pipes and tube from China. The investigation has been initiated following the compliant of the European Steel Tube Association (ESTA) on April 2nd, 2024. Content of the compliant is that imports of certain seamless pipes & tubes are being dumped and thereby causing injury to the Union industry. The investigation period could take up to 14 months, with the possibility of provisional duties.

For seamless pipes & tubes, the price level is stable, because the investigation has not been completed. Several mills have reduced production capacity or introduced shorter working hours due to low demand.

**Source: Official Journal of the European Union C/2024/3225 from 17.5.2024
*Source: International Monetary Fund from November 2024
The Global Economy is expected to remain stable. World GDP will grow by +3.2%* in 2025. The outlook continues to differ across countries, with weaker outcomes in advanced economies, especially in Europe, and growth in the US and emerging economies. Therefore, global steel demand will fall in 2024 and increase slightly in 2025.

In Europe, the market situation is still challenging with further demand decline in the second half year 2024. Several companies went for extended summer closure to adjusted capacities. The manufacturing industry is influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and declining household purchasing power. Construction industry was influenced by monetary activities to control the inflation rate. In addition, destocking has continued at high level, reflecting poor steel demand. The biggest European economy Germany is struggling to pull the economy out of recession. The automotive market has decreased, Volkswagen and further automotive suppliers have announced restructuring measures.

In line with the market situation described above, it is not surprising that the price levels for pipes & tubes are hardly changing. Raw material prices remained almost stable. Scrap prices showed no significant changes. Price levels for European hot-rolled coils increased slightly. Import offers are not seen as interesting to EU users due to lead times, safeguard quota and potential anti-dumping risk. The delivery times for most product groups have not changed and are in line with the market.
Outlook steel market
Developments in the steel market